Yep - those are the grid positions from what I can tell. Neil just over 1.6 seconds back from Mladin and still in 3rd. That's a big gap I reckon. Suzuki appear to have that bike sorted with Ben Spies in 2nd. Even Ben is .7 seconds back in 2nd.
Barring any problems you'd have to tip Mladin but it's a long race and anything can happen.
if he can bring it home in 3rd it will be a great result - the points system apparently rewards consistent scoring - daytona is notorious for engines going "pop" and a DNF - bad for the long term points.